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US Yield Curve Watch

081022yield_2  US Yield Curve Watch。Previous Closeと比べると、flat化が進行で予想通り。2年ものが落ちているのはなぜだろう。ここは市況の需給なのかもしれない。しかし、1.5%が下限である。そして、5年ものの普通の国債と物価連動債のyieldを比べたインフレ期待を見ると、一時はゼロを切ったのである。とうとうデフレ・ゾーンまで来てしまった。これは、Yield Curveのフラット化と整合的。
081022infexp つまり、当面の市場はsecond stimulus packageに悲観的ということかしら。それとも、それを織り込んでもこんなものということかしら。

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