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Evo electoral stats

ここ。投票率84.5%、EMの得票率53.7%。

ただし以下のことに注意。18歳以上が投票権を持つ。UN Populationによれば、2005年現在で18歳以上の人口は5092千人。そのうち、投票のincriptionを行ったのが3671千人、実際に投票したのが3102千人(3102/3671=84.5%)。うち、有効投票が2874千人、EMの得票は1544千人(1544/2874=53.7%)。つまり、18歳以上の人口でEMに投票したのは30%(1544/5092=30%)。但し、18歳以上人口でinscriptionしない人はindigenousである可能性がより高いと考えられるので、潜在的な積極的支持率は3分の1より高いだろう。逆に積極的MAS非支持者は2874-1544=1330千人と推定され、18歳以上人口に対して26%。こちらは大体正確な数字だろう。すなわち、人口の四分の一を占めるMAS反対派に対してどう振舞うかが課題。

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